Toluca x San Lorenzo
Toluca is already qualified. They will shift focus to the domestic league. San Lorenzo is fighting hard, for qualification. They are 2 points behind Gremio. Gremio plays away at LDU Quito, where they will probably not win, because LDU is very good and the height is a killer for Brazilians.
Gremio plas their last game at home, so they will win prob vs Toluca, who will prob go with reserves. But if San Lorenzo win their last 2 games, this one, and the one vs LDU Quito, and Gremio gets just 3 pts(loses this round in quito) then SL will qualify. SL also has a chance if Gremio makes a draw, because it will go down to goal diff.
So San Lorenzo +0.5 ah for me, @ 1.66