Real Madrid x Man City
Let's start with the injuries and suspensions. Real will miss Benzema and Casemiro. They will use Jese and James instead, probably. Ronaldo is announced to be ok, clear to play.
Man City will miss Silva and Nasri.
Now onto the game. Maybe you remember, in the first leg i took the under 3 goals. It was a winner. Now, i have to say i will go with the same pick. First it's about value. I think odds are just too high. The line for me is 2.5 goals, not 3. I know Ronaldo is back, i know Aguero is maybe #1 striker in the world, but this match will be marked by the importance of the away goal rule and the big stakes. Also, the fact that Atletico qualified, makes the pressure slighly bigger on Real. Also, remember the Wolfsburg game. Although Wolfsburg is a little weaker than City, and although Real opened the scoring very soon, the game did not went over. I think it's because of Zidane's tactical approach, he is a little cautious. This is new stuff for him, it's his first season in charge, and he is close to winning the CL. Also i see more defensive duties for Kroos and Modric, since Casemiro is out, which will make James have more offensive responsibility. And James for me is an overweight, overrated player, right now. I loved him in 2014, but he has regressed since then.
Under 3 goals @ 1.75