Germany x Italy
I see a close game here. Germany was horrible vs England. They scored 2 easy goals. The first 1 was a mistake from Butland, the 2nd was a free header by Mario Gomez, who was surrounded by English defenders, but still, managed to score.
Fair to say that Italy's defending is much better than England's, and also fair to say Italy's attack is poor. You can't compare Kane or Vardy, with Graziano Pelle.
So i see a quiet under here, 1-0 for the home side, or 1-1 if Italy is in good form.