Brazil x Ecuador
Brazil x Ecuador
Odds are ridicolous on Brazil to win.
The reasons for this are:
-brasil does not have Neymar
-Ecuador is #1 in the Conmebol qualification, and has won in Buenos Aires, 1-0
But let’s take a closer look. First of all, Neymar missed the last copa america as well. He got injured after the first game, and went home
2nd of all. Brazil is stronger now, because Dunga has a clear tactical idea, and he knows the players better than before.
And the squad is very good.
Let’s have a look.
In def you have Filipe Luis, Miranda, Dani Alves, Marquinhos, Fabinho. The notable missing is Thiago Silva.
In midfield you have Willian, Elias(brilliant player from champions Corinthians), Luiz Guztavo(Wolfsburg), Coutinho(the star of the team, in Neymar’s absence), Casemiro(real), Lucas Lima(maybe the best brazilian player from their own league), Rafinha(Barcelona).
In attack you have Hulk, Jonas(who was top scorer in Europe’s best leagues this year, with Benfica) and Gabriel(another player from Santos, the club that gave Neymar, and the same club Lucas Lima came from).
The only notable missings are the 2 players from City, Fernando and Fernandinho(who are just not good enough), Firmino from Liverpool(he is good, but somehow Dunga skipped him) and of course Neymar….
Let’s take a look at Ecuador. Typically, they are only strong at home, because of the altitude.
They have some nice players, like Enner Valencia from West Ham, Valencia from Man Utd, Jefferson Montero from Swansea. Also Paredes, plays for Watford, a good player. Christian Noboa is also an experienced midfielder, who plays for Rostov, who finished 2nd in Russia.
It’s true that they have a lot of players that are in form, like Cazares, from Mineiro, or Ayovi from Godoy Cruz, who was top scorer for them in the difficult Argentine league.
Maybe their star player is Miller Bolanos, who plays football for Gremio(transfered from Emelec).
A big miss is Felipe Caicedo, striker at Espanyol.
But overall, Ecuador is still mediocre, at best.
Fair odds to me are 1.5 for Brazil.